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Home : Project Database

804 - Testing production models in the Fish River

Abstract:

Habitat-based production models allow development of salmon production estimates from known habitat characteristics. Such production estimates can be especially useful in Norton Sound, where there are currently no biological escapement goals for coho salmon, and our understanding of habitat and production relationships is only beginning. We will test the hypothesis that coho salmon smolt (and subsequent adult) production can be predicted from indicators of watershed size, among watersheds with contrasting habitat quantity and type, by testing models that appear effective in one watershed (Nome River) in two sub-drainages with differing habitat on another (the Fish River). If transferable, it increases confidence that production models can be rapidly and inexpensively generated on a range of 3rd through 5th -order watersheds throughout the region, generating biologically-based estimates of the number of spawners that habitats can support. Our testing will entail capture and marking juvenile salmon to estimate abundance, providing a value-added research platform to address other high priority needs stated in the RFP. We will mark and tag juvenile salmon in a way that allows computation of freshwater survival during downstream migration, and marine survival from emigration to return. Our field validation of habitat use predictions will allow assessment of abiotic and biotic variables driving the abundance and distribution of juvenile salmon (especially Chinook and coho) in AYK watersheds. Smolt production and marine survival estimates are products that then allow estimation of adult returns, which can be compared to historic returns to assess the likelihood of underescapement and the potential for harvest demand to exceed supply. Understanding functional links between habitat attributes, smolt production and adult returns provides foundation for establishing biologically meaningful coho salmon escapement goals throughout Norton Sound, and assessing the adequacy of adult returns for escapement and harvest.

Principal Investigators

Charlie Lean
charlie@nsedc.com
NSEDC
1-888-650-2477
P.O. Box 358
Nome
AK
99762

Matt Nemeth
mnemeth@lgl.com
LGL Alaska Res. Assoc. -
907-562-3339
1101 E. 76th St.
Suite B
Anchorage
AK
99518

David Robichaud
Drobichaud@lgl.com
LGL Limited
(250)656-0127
9768 Second St.
Sidney
BC
V8L 3Y8

Eric Volk
Eric_Volk@fishgame.state.ak.us
Alaska Dept. of Fish & Game
907-267-2335
333 Raspberry Road
Anchorage
aK
99518-1599

Documents

Funding

First Year Funding: $92,960.00
Second Year Funding: $165,815.00
Third Year Funding: $171,915.00
Fourth Year Funding: $109,420.00



Keyword Tree for Project

Fields of Expertise

       Biological Science
              Ecology - 17 Other Projects
       Physical Science
       Socio/Economic

Professional Activity

       Field research and Data Collection - 37 Other Projects
       Fishery management - 11 Other Projects

Ecosystems

       Freshwater – Rivers/Streams - 45 Other Projects
       Marine – Pelagic - 11 Other Projects

Ecosystem Components

       Fish - 51 Other Projects
              Species Groups
                     Anadromous salmonids - 51 Other Projects
                            Coho - 17 Other Projects
                     Other Freshwater Fish - 1 Other Projects
              Specific research issues
                     Distribution and abundance - 21 Other Projects
                     Ecosystems indicators - 8 Other Projects
                     Fishing effects and harvest strategies - 5 Other Projects
                     Foraging ecology - 4 Other Projects
                     Habitat - 10 Other Projects
                     Ocean migration and survival - 10 Other Projects
                     Predator-prey interactions - 4 Other Projects

Geographic Regions

       Bering Sea - 11 Other Projects
       Norton Sound - 18 Other Projects
       Seward Peninsula Streams - 12 Other Projects

Technological Expertise/Lab Methods

       Lab Methods
       Technology
              Geographic information systems/Mapping - 8 Other Projects

Modeling

       Method
              Analytical - Deterministic (i.e. Solving PDEs ODEs) - 4 Other Projects
       Type
              Population - 10 Other Projects

Physical Science Specialties Areas

Management/Policy/Social

       Capacity building - 8 Other Projects
       Commercial fisheries - 18 Other Projects
       Harvest strategies - 7 Other Projects
       Recreational fisheries - 2 Other Projects
       Subsistence fisheries - 16 Other Projects